Conf = Gulf South State = TN
Nickname = Flames Coach = Derrel MartinGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.5560379 home-field advantage = -0.77 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 203 H UVA Wise South Atlanti ( 8- 8, 85.9) 17-11 206 H Rollins Sunshine (11- 6, 93.9) 12-21 210 H Tusculum South Atlanti ( 5-11, 81.1) 20- 5 213 A Lincoln Memorial South Atlanti ( 6-10, 85.5) 16-10 217 H Rhodes SAA (12- 5, 86.1) 13- 8 224 A Belmont Abbey Carolinas (11- 7, 87.1) 17-10 229 H Lynn Sunshine (12- 6, 94.7) 14-19 305 H Thomas More Great Midwest ( 4-15, 78.5) 23- 6 311 A Tampa Sunshine (19- 3, 98.4) 11-22 314 A Florida Southern Sunshine (16- 5, 98.9) 10-19 321 H Young Harris Carolinas (12- 8, 86.9) 16-15 324 H Embry-Riddle Sunshine (12- 6, 94.0) 13-21 328 A Alabama-Huntsville Gulf South (12- 7, 91.5) 7-20 407 H Lander Gulf South ( 8- 8, 89.0) 7-15 413 A Montevallo Gulf South ( 4-11, 84.2) 14-11 416 A Shorter Gulf South ( 2-11, 78.6) 14- 9 420 H Flagler Gulf South (17- 3, 95.9) 6-18 426 A Flagler Gulf South (17- 3, 95.9) 10-20
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 H UVA Wise 17-11 6 2 + 3.33 206 H Rollins 12-21 -9 -5 -1.62 210 H Tusculum 20- 5 15 7 0.00 213 A Lincoln Memorial 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.49 217 H Rhodes 13- 8 5 2 n/a 224 A Belmont Abbey 17-10 7 0 +++ 7.14 229 H Lynn 14-19 -5 -6 1.17 305 H Thomas More 23- 6 17 10 0.00 311 A Tampa 11-22 -11 -11 0.00 314 A Florida Southern 10-19 -9 -11 0.00 321 H Young Harris 16-15 1 1 -0.66 324 H Embry-Riddle 13-21 -8 -5 -1.53 328 A Alabama-Huntsville 7-20 -13 -4 - -2.46 407 H Lander 7-15 -8 0 --- -6.53 413 A Montevallo 14-11 3 2 0.21 416 A Shorter 14- 9 5 8 - -2.00 420 H Flagler 6-18 -12 -7 0.00 426 A Flagler 10-20 -10 -8 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Lander 7-15 -8 0 --- -6.53 328 A Alabama-Huntsville 7-20 -13 -4 - -2.46 416 A Shorter 14- 9 5 8 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Belmont Abbey 17-10 7 0 +++ 7.14 213 A Lincoln Memorial 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.49 203 H UVA Wise 17-11 6 2 + 3.33
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 87.78 Power Rank................. 48 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 76.33 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 29 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5817 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 61 RPI Rating............... .5324 RPI Rank................... 38 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 70 Selection sum ........... 152 Selection Rank ............ 45 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -95. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 53 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -95. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 53 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 14.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.7